Halftime Update 2026: Stocks Consolidate Near Highs, Dollar Strength, Bonds Struggle & Crypto Weakness

In this Halftime Update 2026, Adam Koós reviews key market trends and risk signals. The S&P 500 remains in a long-term uptrend with a potential triangle consolidation, while small caps look strong after a breakout. International stocks rank highly but face a potential headwind from a strengthening U.S. dollar. Bonds—especially long-term Treasuries—remain weak amid Fed rate-hike talk, while convertible bonds stand out. Commodities show gold and silver below key trend levels, and oil has retraced Iran-war fears. Risk gauges are mixed, with some froth in margin debt and analyst buy ratings but broader investor fear, and Bitcoin and Ethereum remain below their 200-day averages.

00:00 Welcome and Quote
00:39 S&P 500 Setup
02:06 Small Caps Breakout
02:36 International Stocks
03:43 Dollar Strength
04:18 Bonds and Rates
05:22 Commodities Check
06:50 Risk On Signals
08:42 Rankings Dashboard
09:45 Crypto Weakness
10:50 Big Picture Themes
12:12 Froth and Sentiment
14:26 Cycle and Checklist
15:47 Risk Management Wrap
16:44 Closing and Contact

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📜 Disclosures:
This video is for informational and educational purposes only. Nothing shared constitutes investment, legal, or tax advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment strategies discussed are not specific to any individual or portfolio.

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Adam Koós Adam D. Koós, CFP®, CMT, CEPA

Adam’s professional journey began just 10 days before the tragic attack on the World Trade Center in 2001. This timing allowed him to guide his clients through four of the worst market crashes in U.S. history.

He holds several high-ranking certifications, such as the Certified Financial Planner® (CFP), Chartered Market Technician® (CMT), Certified Financial Technician (CFTe), and Certified Exit Planning Advisor (CEPA). He’s also been recognized locally and nationally in publications such as The Wall Street Journal, MarketWatch, Investopedia, Seeking Alpha, FA Magazine, and Proactive Advisor Magazine, just to name a few.

At Libertas Wealth Management Group, Adam utilizes his expertise, focusing on two main areas:

Career professionals who have an interest in utilizing a variety of retirement, tax, insurance, and estate planning tools to make work optional — and stay retired.

Business owners and CEOs interested in transitioning their businesses into more profitable, efficient, and lifestyle-friendly companies with plans to eventually (or immediately) exit, and…

In addition to his financial advisory role, Adam is an accomplished speaker, writer, and educator. He regularly contributes to numerous financial publications and offers financial planning classes and workshops. His dedication to sharing knowledge stems from his family’s background in teaching.

Through these endeavors, Adam continues to make a significant impact on the lives of others, fulfilling the vision he nurtured from a young age, watching his father and absorbing the lessons he was taught about attitude and ethics, and using his knowledge to provide authentic advice, treating clients as if they were his own family.