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The Market Reacts to An Assassination Attempt

If you told and asked the average American, “The former President and current presidential candidate was shot in the ear on Saturday in an attempt on his life. What will the stock market do on Monday?

The Market Reacts To An Assassination Attempt &Raquo; Image 9 1024X576 1
Doug Mills, The New York Times

I doubt many people would answer, “Ehhh – basically nothing. The market won’t care.” 

But the market had an unnoteworthy, “basically nothing” day on Monday, July 15. It was up 0.28%. Whoop-dee-doo.

The Market Reacts To An Assassination Attempt &Raquo; Screenshot 2024 07 15 At 7.33.22 Pm

Why?

Most people misunderstand what the market cares about. While individuals are undoubtedly concerned about how this assassination attempt affects American democracy, the market’s mind is elsewhere. The market cares, ultimately, about long-term corporate earnings.

Investors/voters have long tried to mix their ballots with their portfolios. They want there to be a strong correlation that, quite frankly, does not exist. The market goes up and to the right over long periods of time, regardless of who is in office. Look at these two charts:

The Market Reacts To An Assassination Attempt &Raquo; Image 10 1
The Market Reacts To An Assassination Attempt &Raquo; Image 11 1024X715 1

You might care deeply about politics, America, your candidate, or any number of issues heading into this November. 

The market cares less. It certainly cares differently. Red, blue. The market doesn’t care. Don’t forget that over the rest of this year. Turn off Fox News and CNN. Don’t let politics inform your investment decisions. 

Thank you for reading! If you enjoyed this article, join 8000+ subscribers who read my 2-minute weekly email, where I send you links to the smartest financial content I find online every week.

-Jesse

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Jesse Cramer Writer & Financial Planner

Jesse Cramer is the writer of The Best Interest blog, the voice behind The Best Interest Podcast, and works full-time as a fiduciary financial planner for Cobblestone Capital Advisors in Rochester, NY.

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